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  2. Top polling guru reveals final 2024 election prediction model ...

    www.aol.com/news/top-polling-guru-reveals-final...

    Polling guru Nate Silver has revealed his final prediction model for the 2024 presidential election – and has concluded the race between Kamala Harris and Donald Trump is “literally closer ...

  3. Renowned election guru Nate Silver reveals latest forecast ...

    www.aol.com/renowned-election-guru-nate-silver...

    Silver’s model shows Trump has a 51.5% chance of clinching the Electoral College while Harris has a 48.1% chance, according to a Substack post on Sunday morning, Mediate reported.

  4. Harris takes razor-thin lead in final Nate Silver forecast - AOL

    www.aol.com/harris-takes-razor-thin-lead...

    Vice President Harris took a razor-thin lead against former President Trump in Nate Silver’s final forecast of the 2024 election, with the veteran pollster saying the race is “literally closer ...

  5. Top pollster finds Trump gaining momentum against Harris ...

    www.aol.com/top-pollster-finds-trump-gaining...

    Silver’s model predicts that Harris has a 58.9% chance at winning the national popular vote – which has no bearing on the winner of the race – but that Trump will rack up 274 Electoral ...

  6. Nate Silver: ’50/50′ forecast means ‘people should be making ...

    www.aol.com/nate-silver-50-50-forecast-215232315...

    Pollster Nate Silver said that a 50/50 forecast for the presidential election means that people should start planning for the possibility that former President Trump takes back the White House in ...

  7. FiveThirtyEight - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/FiveThirtyEight

    Founder Nate Silver left in 2023, taking the rights to his forecasting model with him to his website Silver Bulletin. [3] [4] [5] 538's new owner Disney hired G. Elliott Morris to develop a new model. [3] [4] On September 18, 2023, the original website domain at fivethirtyeight.com was closed, and web traffic became redirected to ABC News pages ...

  8. Silver wrote in the New York Times. ... 50-50 is the only responsible forecast,” Silver, whose model currently rates the Republican nominee with a 53.1% ... Nate Silver underscored that the 2024 ...

  9. Nate Silver on the 2024 race: 'It's no longer Trump's ...

    www.aol.com/nate-silver-2024-race-no-090202999.html

    Nate Silver is famous for his election predictions. ... Now Silver has a new book — "On the Edge: ... And also the business model of Substack is very appealing from a cash-flow standpoint: All ...

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