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The betting site Polymarket has emerged as a hot topic in the 2024 presidential race. Trump's odds of winning are at 66% there based on bets. National polls generally show the race tied.
The presidential election betting odds gives Donald Trump a 61 percent chance to beat Vice President Kamala Harris in next month's election. ... Bovada has it 64-36, Polymarket has it 63-32 and ...
Betsson, Bwin, Points Bet, Polymarket and Smarkets now have the race as a pick'em. Betfair gives Trump a 1% edge over Harris, 48% to 47%. Bvoda still has Harris ahead, 51% to 49%.
Here are some of the most popular bets on Kalshi and Polymarket now that the election is over. Super Bowl Champion 2025 The Chargers and Chiefs last faced off in January 2024.
(The same study notes that election betting fell out of favor after 1940, as scientific polling grew more sophisticated and reliable.) But just like polls, prediction markets are far from perfect.
Prediction markets show Trump leading Harris in 2024 election odds. The betting platform Polymarket has seen its trading volume surge, with $1.24 billion in October alone.
They reacted quickly amid a slew of outcomes from individual states, and by 1:30 AM on Wednesday, they predicted over 98% chances of a Trump win, according to the Election Betting Odds tool.
With nearly $1 billion wagered on the outcome of the presidential election at Polymarket, Trump's odds of winning were listed as 61.3%, compared to 38.6% for Harris, at 8:52 a.m. ET on Thursday.