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Trafalgar was an outlier in polling in the 2018 Georgia gubernatorial election, with its final poll showing Brian Kemp leading by 12 points, a race he ultimately won by less than two points; every other poll showed a one or two point difference in the race.
Former President Trump has a 2.2 percentage point lead over Vice President Harris in the critical swing state of Michigan, a new poll found. The survey, released Wednesday by the Trafalgar Group ...
Trafalgar’s Wisconsin poll of 1,086 likely voters was also conducted between Sept. 28 and 30, and it’s more of a mixed bag for Republicans, showing some Trumpers aren’t sold on Senate ...
He drew attention in the aftermath of the election because Trafalgar had was one of a small number of polling firms to predict Donald Trump's victory over Hillary Clinton in the 2016 presidential election. Cahaly stated that Trafalgar's polling methodology was more accurate than other polls because it utilized methods to increase the weighting ...
Poll results can be affected by methodology, especially in how they predict who will vote in the next election, and re-weighting answers to compensate for slightly non-random samples. One technique, "weighting on recalled vote" is an attempt to compensate for previous underestimates of votes for Donald Trump by rebalancing the sample based on ...
The poll, conducted Sept. 11 ... Most of the 1,094 chose the Republican nominee when asked whom they would vote for “if the election for president were held today.” ... The Trafalgar Group.
The persons named in the polls are declared candidates or have received media speculation about their possible candidacy. The polls included are among Republicans or Republicans and Republican-leaning independents. If multiple versions of polls are provided, the version among likely voters is prioritized, then registered voters, then adults.
Live election results and related data for Senate, House and governor’s races. Senate Outlook 2014 Forecasts for 2014’s Senate races, based on HuffPost Pollster’s poll-tracking model.