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An opinion poll, often simply referred to as a survey or a poll (although strictly a poll is an actual election), is a human research survey of public opinion from a particular sample. Opinion polls are usually designed to represent the opinions of a population by conducting a series of questions and then extrapolating generalities in ratio or ...
Gallup was the first polling organization to conduct accurate opinion polling for United States presidential elections. [1] [2] Gallup polling has often been accurate in predicting the outcome of presidential elections and the margin of victory for the winner. [3]
Cantril, Hadley and Mildred Strunk, eds. Public Opinion, 1935–1946 Archived July 28, 2012, at the Wayback Machine, massive compilation of many public opinion polls from US, UK, Canada, Australia, and elsewhere. online; Converse, Jean M. Survey Research in the United States: Roots and Emergence 1890–1960 (1987), the standard history
Why Truman’s 1948 upset is no template for the 2024 U.S. presidential election, according to the expert who wrote the book on polling failure W. Joseph Campbell April 5, 2024 at 10:27 AM
Psephology uses historical precinct voting data, public opinion polls, campaign finance information and similar statistical data. The term was coined in 1948 by W. F. R. Hardie (1902–1990) in the United Kingdom after R. B. McCallum, a friend of Hardie's, requested a word to describe the study of elections. Its first documented usage in ...
According to Blumer, public opinion is discussed as a form of collective behavior (another specialized term) which is made up of those who are discussing a given public issue at any one time. Given this definition, there are many publics; each of them comes into being when an issue arises and ceases to exist when the issue is resolved.
The American Association for Public Opinion Research commissioned a study about the performance of polls during the 2008 primary elections and reported several factors that could have distorted ...
Our poll, the first post-election poll specifically focused on trust in government, reveals that while voters are less trusting of the government as a result of the election, they believe the ...