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That undershoot of 3 points follows polls in 2020 that underestimated Trump's national margin by 4 points and in 2016 that underestimated his performance by 2 points, according to 538's averages.
Pete Hoekstra, Chair of the Michigan Republican Party (2024–present) and U.S. Ambassador to the Netherlands (2018–2021) [23] Bob Hugin, Chair of the New Jersey Republican Party (2021–present) [24] D. Michael Hurst Jr., Chair of the Mississippi Republican Party (2024–present) and U.S. Attorney for the Southern District of Mississippi ...
As of October 2024, 43 out of the currently serving 49 Republican senators have endorsed Trump. John Barrasso, Wyoming (2007–present) [1] Marsha Blackburn, Tennessee (2019–present) [2] John Boozman, Arkansas (2011–present) [3] Mike Braun, Indiana (2019–present), Republican nominee for Governor of Indiana in 2024 [4]
List of former Trump administration officials who endorsed Kamala Harris; List of Republicans who opposed the Donald Trump 2024 presidential campaign; List of Joe Biden 2024 presidential campaign primary endorsements; List of Kamala Harris 2024 presidential campaign endorsements; Endorsements in the 2024 Republican Party presidential primaries
According to 538's analysis of polls conducted in competitive states* in which over 95 percent of the expected vote was counted as of Nov. 8 at 6 a.m. Eastern, the average poll conducted over the ...
Two weeks ago, 538's forecast of the presidential election gave Vice President Kamala Harris just a 58-in-100 chance of defeating former President Donald Trump on Nov. 5. You might be tempted to ...
Donald Trump secures a majority of pledged delegates and becomes the presumptive Republican nominee. March 8, 2024 American Samoa caucus held. March 6, 2024 Nikki Haley suspends her campaign, leaving Donald Trump the presumptive Republican nominee. Emerson College [8] March 5–6, 2024 578 (LV) – – – – 14.5% – – – – 80.5%: 5.0%
The countdown to Election Day 2024 is on with less than two months left of campaigning. ... ABC News project 538 shows Harris leading in the national polls 47.1% to Trump 44.4% compared to one ...