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  2. Harris-Trump polls tighten, but PredictIt and Polymarket tell ...

    www.aol.com/finance/harris-trump-polls-tighten...

    Meanwhile, Polymarket shows Trump has a 54% chance of winning the presidential election with Harris trailing behind at just a 45.3% chance. PredictIt’s markets are a little closer.

  3. How prediction markets saw something the polls and pundits didn’t

    www.aol.com/prediction-markets-saw-something...

    For free market purists, the success of betting sites like Polymarket, Kalshi and PredictIt isn’t surprising at all. The basic theory behind prediction markets is that a lot of people with money ...

  4. Trump’s chances dip slightly on Polymarket, Cooper favored as ...

    www.aol.com/finance/trump-chances-dip-slightly...

    Her odds of becoming the next president have jumped from 18% to 29% on Polymarket, and up from 27% to 40% on PredictIt. FiveThirtyEight’s approval poll show a 50% disapproval rating for the vice ...

  5. Traders on Polymarket are betting on Harris’s odds of beating ...

    www.aol.com/finance/traders-polymarket-betting...

    Polymarket did not respond to Fortune’s request for an interview. That isn’t to say prediction markets are always right. In 2016, PredictIt bettors notched Hillary Clinton at an 80% chance of ...

  6. Polymarket predicted Trump's win. Now comes the hard part.

    www.aol.com/news/polymarket-predicted-trumps-win...

    Polymarket and Kalshi were big winners of the election. But can they maintain their momentum until 2028?

  7. Here's what people are betting on in prediction markets now ...

    www.aol.com/heres-people-betting-prediction...

    Here are some of the most popular bets on Kalshi and Polymarket now that the election is over. Super Bowl Champion 2025 The Chargers and Chiefs last faced off in January 2024.

  8. A mystery Polymarket trader bet major money that Trump would ...

    www.aol.com/finance/french-whale-polymarket-just...

    The total U.S. presidential contract, or market, had grown to a whopping $3.6 billion. Although the news outlets called the election before 11 a.m. EST Wednesday, there was a gap between when the ...

  9. Why prediction markets can be more accurate than polls at ...

    www.aol.com/why-prediction-markets-more-accurate...

    Prediction markets can be more accurate than polling when it comes to elections, a professor told Business Insider. There's over $606 million wagered on the 2024 election on Polymarket, favoring a ...