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Two weeks ago, 538's forecast of the presidential election gave Vice President Kamala Harris just a 58-in-100 chance of defeating former President Donald Trump on Nov. 5. You might be tempted to ...
Looking at 538’s forecast, the most likely tipping-point state across all scenarios for the 2024 election is Pennsylvania. In 18 out of 100 cases, the Keystone State provides the winning ...
Who is winning the presidential election? ABC News project 538 shows Harris leading in the national polls at 48.5% to Trump's 46.1%, compared to Harris 48.3% to Trump at 45.3% four weeks ago .
The GOP need to win 10 more of those (a total of 218) to win a majority in the chamber. Republicans currently lead vote counts in 13 seats : 1 remaining Solid Republican seats 3 Likely Republican ...
At 538, Morris developed a new election forecasting model of the 2024 election. In the leadup to Biden's withdrawal, 538 was the only professional election forecaster to give Biden majority odds of winning the 2024 election. [93]
Who is winning the election? What the polls say ABC News project 538 shows Harris leading in the national polls at 48.5% to Trump's 46.1%, compared to Harris 48.5% to Trump at 46.1% last week .
Next gubernational election in California will take place on November 2022. Candidates term ends; Gavin Newsom: 2022. Source: Associated Press.
According to 538's analysis of polls conducted in competitive states* in which over 95 percent of the expected vote was counted as of Nov. 8 at 6 a.m. Eastern, the average poll conducted over the ...