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Their models show that when the difference between short-term interest rates (they use 3-month T-bills) and long-term interest rates (10-year Treasury bonds) at the end of a federal reserve tightening cycle is negative or less than 93 basis points positive, a rise in unemployment usually occurs. [16]
Chart of S&P BSE SENSEX monthly data from January 1991 to May 2013. The following is a timeline on the rise of the SENSEX through Indian stock market history. 1000, 25 July 1990 – On 25 July 1990, the SENSEX touched the four-digit figure for the first time and closed at 1,001 in the wake of a good monsoon and excellent corporate results.
Trading was suspended for one hour at the Bombay Stock Exchange after the benchmark Sensex crashed to a low of 15,576.30 within minutes of opening, crossing the circuit limit of 10 per cent. On 11 Feb 2008, the Sensex fell by a further 834 points to 16,630. On 3 March 2008, the Sensex fell by 900 points to settle at 16,677.
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The idea is to take a long-term average of earnings (typically 5 or 10 year) and adjust for inflation to forecast future returns. The long term average smooths out short term volatility of earnings and medium-term business cycles in the general economy and they thought it was a better reflection of a firm's long term earning power.
The consumer price index released on October 10 showed inflation cooling to its lowest level since February 2021, with a 2.4% year-over-year increase in consumer prices in September, down from 2.5 ...