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  2. Statistical association football predictions - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Statistical_association...

    Statistical Football prediction is a method used in sports betting, to predict the outcome of football matches by means of statistical tools. The goal of statistical match prediction is to outperform the predictions of bookmakers [ citation needed ] [ dubious – discuss ] , who use them to set odds on the outcome of football matches.

  3. Due column betting - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Due_Column_betting

    Due-column wagering is considered a fixed-profit system because the due-column bettor determines the desired profit before betting begins. However, whereas with percentage-based money-management systems the bettor varies their bets as a percentage of their bankroll, with a series of due-column bets they bet the amount necessary to make their desired profit plus the total amount necessary to ...

  4. Conformal prediction - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Conformal_prediction

    The conformal prediction first arose in a collaboration between Gammerman, Vovk, and Vapnik in 1998; [1] this initial version of conformal prediction used what are now called E-values though the version of conformal prediction best known today uses p-values and was proposed a year later by Saunders et al. [7] Vovk, Gammerman, and their students and collaborators, particularly Craig Saunders ...

  5. Brier score - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Brier_score

    A skill score for a given underlying score is an offset and (negatively-) scaled variant of the underlying score such that a skill score value of zero means that the score for the predictions is merely as good as that of a set of baseline or reference or default predictions, while a skill score value of one (100%) represents the best possible ...

  6. Prognostic chart - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Prognostic_chart

    Around 1950, a good surface prognostic chart was considered to be one whose isobars were in the correct location. [19] By 1957, it was proposed when isobars or height lines at the 500 hectopascals (15 inHg) pressure level in the atmosphere were being verified, that the degree of persistence should be considered so as to avoid getting bad ...