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Even though the accuracy is 10 + 999000 / 1000000 ≈ 99.9%, 990 out of the 1000 positive predictions are incorrect. The precision of 10 / 10 + 990 = 1% reveals its poor performance. As the classes are so unbalanced, a better metric is the F1 score = 2 × 0.01 × 1 / 0.01 + 1 ≈ 2% (the recall being 10 + 0 / 10 ...
This metric is well suited to intermittent-demand series (a data set containing a large amount of zeros) because it never gives infinite or undefined values [1] except in the irrelevant case where all historical data are equal.
This pre-aggregated data set becomes the new sample data over which to draw samples with replacement. This method is similar to the Block Bootstrap, but the motivations and definitions of the blocks are very different. Under certain assumptions, the sample distribution should approximate the full bootstrapped scenario.
For the previous example (95 negative and 5 positive samples), classifying all as negative gives 0.5 balanced accuracy score (the maximum bACC score is one), which is equivalent to the expected value of a random guess in a balanced data set. Balanced accuracy can serve as an overall performance metric for a model, whether or not the true labels ...
Accuracy is also used as a statistical measure of how well a binary classification test correctly identifies or excludes a condition. That is, the accuracy is the proportion of correct predictions (both true positives and true negatives) among the total number of cases examined. [10]
There are two main uses of the term calibration in statistics that denote special types of statistical inference problems. Calibration can mean a reverse process to regression, where instead of a future dependent variable being predicted from known explanatory variables, a known observation of the dependent variables is used to predict a corresponding explanatory variable; [1]
In particular, m is a sample median if and only if m minimizes the arithmetic mean of the absolute deviations. [ 7 ] More generally, a median is defined as a minimum of E ( | X − c | − | X | ) , {\displaystyle E(|X-c|-|X|),} as discussed at Multivariate median (and specifically at Spatial median ).
Accuracy Mean of x: 9 exact Sample variance of x: s 2 x: 11 exact Mean of y: 7.50 to 2 decimal places Sample variance of y: s 2 y: 4.125 ±0.003 Correlation between x and y: 0.816 to 3 decimal places Linear regression line y = 3.00 + 0.500x: to 2 and 3 decimal places, respectively Coefficient of determination of the linear regression: 0.67