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The asteroid, discovered just after Christmas and named 2024 YR4, could strike the planet in December 2032 as it approaches during another journey around its orbit, according to NASA's Center for ...
Asteroid 2024 YR4 was originally thought to have a 1 in 83 1.3% chance of colliding with Earth. And while the new numbers may seem striking, there’s still a 97.7% chance the asteroid will miss ...
According to the latest calculations from NASA's Jet Propulsion Laboratory, there is a 1.6% chance the asteroid will strike Earth on December 22, 2032.
Due to Earth's escape velocity, the minimum impact velocity is 11 km/s with asteroid impacts averaging around 17 km/s on the Earth. [22] The most probable impact angle is 45 degrees. [22] Impact conditions such as asteroid size and speed, but also density and impact angle determine the kinetic energy released in an impact event.
2024 YR 4 is an asteroid estimated to be 40 to 90 metres (130 to 300 ft) in diameter that is classified as an Apollo-type (Earth-crossing) near-Earth object.It was discovered by the Chilean station of the Asteroid Terrestrial-impact Last Alert System (ATLAS) on 27 December 2024.
On the slim chance the asteroid does strike Earth in 2032, its impacts would be localized. But 2024 YR4 has nonetheless received a Level 3 rating, out of 10, on the Torino Impact Hazard Scale ...
This is a list of asteroids that have impacted Earth after discovery and orbit calculation that predicted the impact in advance. As of December 2024, all of the asteroids with predicted impacts were under 5 m (16 ft) in size that were discovered just hours before impact, and burned up in the atmosphere as meteors.
The latest calculations show that the asteroid known as "2024 YR4" has an increased chance of striking our planet in Dec. 2032. Odds increase again for small asteroid 20224 YR4 to strike Earth in 2032