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This is a list of nationwide public opinion polls that were conducted relating to the general election for the 2024 United States presidential election. Those named in the polls were declared candidates or had received media speculation about their possible candidacy.
This article is a collection of statewide opinion polls conducted for the 2024 United States presidential election. The people named in the polls are declared candidates or have received media speculation about their possible candidacy.
Presidential elections were held in the United States on November 5, 2024. [a] The Republican Party's ticket—Donald Trump, who was the 45th president of the United States from 2017 to 2021, and JD Vance, the junior U.S. senator from Ohio—defeated the Democratic Party's ticket—Kamala Harris, the incumbent vice president, and Tim Walz, the 41st governor of Minnesota.
Former Vice President Joe Biden had been leading in most national polls, but President Donald Trump believed that the polls would underestimate him again. Although the polls had underestimated Trump's strength nationally and in Ohio, Florida, and Iowa, Biden won back the blue Midwestern states and made inroads in the Sun Belt to win the election.
2024 U.S. presidential election: Candidate: Kamala Harris 49th Vice President of the United States (2021–present) Tim Walz 41st Governor of Minnesota (2019–present) Affiliation: Democratic Party: Status: Announced: July 21, 2024 Presumptive nominee: July 22, 2024 Official nominee: August 5, 2024 Lost election: November 5, 2024: Headquarters
Whereas Harris underperformed Biden's 2020 total by nearly 2 million, Trump narrowly surpassed his vote total from 2020, solidifying his base of support in the state at just over 6 million votes; this marked his third-highest vote total from any state in the country in 2024, only behind 6.4 million in Texas and 6.1 million in Florida.
Trump won Pennsylvania with 50.4% of the vote to Kamala Harris's 48.7%, defeating her by a margin of roughly 1.7% and flipping the state. This was the largest margin of victory for a Republican candidate since 1988, as well as the first time since that election that a Republican won over 50% of the state vote.
English: A LOESS graph of the polling during 2024 for the United States presidential election between all major candidates. The 'Others' and 'Undecided' groups have been calculated out. Smoothing is set to 1.0. This graph will be updated at least weekly. The dashed blue line represents when Harris became the presumptive nominee for the Democrats.