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  2. Margin of error - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Margin_of_error

    For a confidence level, there is a corresponding confidence interval about the mean , that is, the interval [, +] within which values of should fall with probability . ...

  3. Huffington Post / YouGov Public Opinion Polls

    data.huffingtonpost.com/yougov/methodology

    Many interpret the “margin of error,” commonly reported for public opinion polls, as accounting for all potential errors from a survey. It does not. There are many non-sampling errors, common to all surveys, that can include effects due to question wording and misreporting by respondents.

  4. Opinion poll - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Opinion_poll

    An opinion poll, often simply referred to as a survey or a poll (although strictly a poll is an actual election), is a human research survey of public opinion from a particular sample. Opinion polls are usually designed to represent the opinions of a population by conducting a series of questions and then extrapolating generalities in ratio or ...

  5. Poll average - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Poll_average

    The reason for this is that this type of poll average gives less weight to the polls that have less uncertainty. However, if you account for the variation in polls due to each poll's unique sample size, you can combine the polls into a poll average. This means the only assumption you are making is that each poll was conducted in a similar ...

  6. Which states have the most — and least — accurate polls?

    www.aol.com/states-most-least-accurate-polls...

    Specifically, when calculating polls' average error, polls are weighted by one over the square root of the number of polls that their pollster conducted for that particular type of election in ...

  7. Opinion: Why the margin of error matters in the 2024 election ...

    www.aol.com/opinion-why-margin-error-matters...

    In just about any discussion of a poll about the very close presidential race between Vice President Kamala Harris and former President Donald Trump, you'll hear the phrase "within the poll's ...

  8. How to read political polls in 2024

    www.aol.com/read-political-polls-2024-142840364.html

    When a candidate leads in the polls by a smaller margin than that, be aware that it would be totally normal by historical standards for the trailing candidate to win. 9. Don't try to "unskew" the ...

  9. Entrance poll - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Entrance_poll

    An entrance poll is a poll that is taken before voters have cast their votes at the polling stations. They are mainly used in caucuses. They are mainly used in caucuses. It is akin to an opinion poll in the sense that it asks who the voter plans to vote for or some similar set of questions.