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When we find fewer than five polls in 2016 or fewer than two polls since July 2016, we use Cook Political Report ratings to estimate where the race stands. We run the simulations out to Election Day, Nov. 8. Since we don’t have polling data for the future, the model assumes voter intentions generally continue along their current trajectories.
This is a list of nationwide public opinion polls that were conducted relating to the Republican primaries for the 2016 United States presidential election. The persons named in the polls were either declared candidates, former candidates, or received media speculation about their possible candidacy.
Donald Trump won the general election of Tuesday, November 8, 2016. He lost the popular vote but won the electoral college . [ 1 ] [ 2 ] Most polls correctly predicted a popular vote victory for Hillary Clinton , but overestimated the size of her lead, with the result that Trump's electoral college victory was a surprise to analysts.
Senate. Chance each party controls Senate. Dem 50/50 Split GOP; 71%: 22%: 7%: See full calculations »
Election 2016 Presidential Forecast. Percent of simulations where each candidate becomes president. Clinton 98.0%. Trump 1.7%. How we calculate this » ...
The user base of X, the social media network formerly known as Twitter, is more than 100 times bigger than Truth Social’s. Even Threads has 20 times more users than Truth Social, according to ...
Polls misfired during the election campaigns of 2012, 2016, and 2020. Their collective performance four years ago was their worst since 1980.
2016 United States presidential election ← 2012 November 8, 2016 2020 → 538 members of the Electoral College 270 electoral votes needed to win Opinion polls Turnout 60.1% (1.5 pp) Nominee Donald Trump Hillary Clinton Party Republican Democratic Home state New York New York Running mate Mike Pence Tim Kaine Electoral vote 304 [a] 227 [a] States carried 30 + ME-02 20 + DC Popular vote ...