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Approaching the 2010 election, President Arroyo was deeply unpopular. Her Lakas Kampi CMD party nominated Secretary of Defense Gilbert Teodoro, but rumors persisted that she wanted Senator Manuel Villar to succeed her. In 2009, former president Aquino died, catapulting her son Senator Benigno Aquino III in the presidential race. Aquino defeated ...
Opinion polling (popularly known as surveys in the Philippines) for the 2010 Philippine presidential election is managed by two major polling firms: Social Weather Stations and Pulse Asia, and several minor polling firms. The polling firms conducted surveys both prior and after the deadline for filing of certificates of candidacies on December ...
^1 In 1949, two candidates from the Liberal Party contested the election: Jose Avelino and Elpidio Quirino. Avelino did not win at least a plurality of votes in a single province except his home province of Samar. ^2 In 1946, two candidates from the Nacionalista Party contested the election: Sergio Osmeña and Manuel Roxas. Both candidates won ...
Despite mainstream media predictions about the election hinging on the president's performance, it appears as though the economy was a much greater factor in the two key gubernatorial races yesterday.
Sara Duterte-Carpio campaigns in the City of Parañaque ahead of the Philippines’ 2022 national elections. Credit - Aaron Favila—AP. 2024 may be the world’s biggest-ever election year, but ...
Polls misfired during the election campaigns of 2012, 2016, and 2020. ... the growth and popularity of betting-prediction markets such as Polymarket also reflect an entertainment component in ...
Prediction markets show very accurate forecasts of an election outcome. One example is the Iowa Electronic Markets. In a study, 964 election polls were compared with the five US presidential elections from 1988 to 2004. Berg et al. (2008) showed that the Iowa Electronic Markets topped the polls 74% of the time. [11]
For much of its history since 1935, the Philippines has been governed as a presidential unitary republic.The term "general election" is not predominantly used in the Philippines, but for the purposes of this article, a "general election" may refer to an election day where the presidency or at least a class of members of Congress are on the ballot.