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The following graph depicts the standing of each candidate in the poll aggregators from September 2019 to November 2020. Former Vice President Joe Biden, the Democratic nominee, had an average polling lead of 7.9 percentage points over incumbent President Donald Trump, the Republican nominee.
Most election predictors for the 2020 United States presidential election used: Tossup: No advantage; Tilt: Advantage that is not quite as strong as "lean" Lean: Slight advantage; Likely: Significant, but surmountable, advantage (highest rating given by CBS News and NPR) Safe or solid: Near-certain chance of victory
Source of poll aggregation Dates administered Dates updated Joe Biden Democratic Donald Trump Republican Other/ Undecided [a] Margin 270 to Win [147] October 17–27, 2020 November 3, 2020 61.7%: 32.3% 6.0% Biden +29.4: Real Clear Politics [148] September 26 – October 21, 2020 October 27, 2020 60.7%: 31.0% 8.3% Biden +29.7: FiveThirtyEight ...
In 2020, Biden led among voters with bachelor's degrees by 14 points, compared with Harris' current lead of just 5 points. If these forecasts hold up at the ballot box, they would constitute a ...
This shrinks to a 55-point lead for Harris among Black voters younger than 60 (Biden won this group by 71 points in 2020, according to exit polls). Trump performs best among Black likely voters ...
Democrats shouldn’t panic about new polls showing President Joe Biden ... where Biden is down by 5 percentage points to Trump in a state he won by nearly 3 points in 2020. ... In a speech in ...
The Democratic National Committee (DNC) determined that candidates could qualify for the first two Democratic primary debates either by polling at 1% or higher in at least three national or early-state (Iowa, New Hampshire, Nevada, and South Carolina) polls sponsored or conducted by designated organizations (in different regions if by the same organization) published after January 1, 2019, up ...
As inflation keeps rising and recession fears loom, a new Yahoo News/YouGov poll shows that Joe Biden is currently in the worst shape of his presidency.