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A new report from Morningstar recommends the safe withdrawal rate for retirees in 2025 is a mere 3.7% — a significant adjustment from the decades-old 4% rule that had dominated retirement planning.
These initial withdrawal rates range from as low as 3.0% for a conservative investor in their early 60s to as much as 8.0% for a less conservative 80-year-old. Early 60s More conservative: 3%
Here's how it all works: Start with a $1 million initial investment, a 4% stated withdrawal rate, and a 2.42% inflation rate, you would withdraw $40,000 from the portfolio in Year 1, $40,968 in ...
The worst 30-year period had a maximum withdrawal rate of 3.5%. A 4% withdrawal rate survived most 30 year periods. The higher the stock allocation the higher rate of success. A portfolio of 75% stocks is more volatile but had higher maximum withdrawal rates. Starting with a withdrawal rate near 4% and a minimum 50% equity allocation in ...
William P. Bengen is a retired financial adviser who first articulated the 4% withdrawal rate ("Four percent rule") as a rule of thumb for withdrawal rates from retirement savings; [1] it is eponymously known as the "Bengen rule". [2] The rule was later further popularized by the Trinity study (1998), based on the same data and similar analysis.
Other authors have made similar studies using backtested and simulated market data, and other withdrawal systems and strategies. The Trinity study and others of its kind have been sharply criticized, e.g., by Scott et al. (2008), [2] not on their data or conclusions, but on what they see as an irrational and economically inefficient withdrawal strategy: "This rule and its variants finance a ...
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Bengen used a 60/40 portfolio model (60% stocks , 40% bonds) and was conducted during a period of higher bond returns (higher interest rates) compared with current rates. What the 4% rule doesn ...