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  2. US 2025 Recession Odds Plummet: Good News Or Warning Sign? - AOL

    www.aol.com/us-2025-recession-odds-plummet...

    In June 2023, the New York Fed’s model — which calculates recession probabilities based on the yield spread between 10-year Treasury bonds and three-month bills — estimated a 70% chance of a ...

  3. Will Your Home Lose Value in a Recession? - AOL

    www.aol.com/home-lose-value-recession-211640974.html

    In a December press release on homeowner equity, Hepp said, “At 43.6%, the average U.S. loan-to-value (LTV) ratio is only slightly higher than in the past two quarters and still significantly ...

  4. The economy is flashing a recession signal that's been seen ...

    www.aol.com/economy-flashing-recession-signal...

    A recession is coming in the US by early next year, one John Hopkins economist predicts. The economy is flashing a recession signal that's been seen only 4 times in the past century, veteran ...

  5. Is the housing market going to crash? What the experts ... - AOL

    www.aol.com/finance/housing-market-going-crash...

    After posting a year-over-year decrease in February 2023 for the first time in more than a decade, the median sale price of a single-family home has been on the rise again, recording annual growth ...

  6. Global recession - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Global_recession

    According to this definition, since World War II there were only four global recessions (in 1975, 1982, 1991 and 2009), all of them only lasting a year (although the 1991 recession would have lasted until 1993 if the IMF had used normal exchange rate weighted per‑capita real World GDP rather than the purchasing power parity weighted per ...

  7. The odds of a recession are now just 15% because fading ... - AOL

    www.aol.com/finance/odds-recession-now-just-15...

    Like many of his Wall Street peers, Goldman Sachs chief economist Jan Hatzius has been rethinking the odds of the U.S. economy falling into recession in 2023. With inflation slowly fading from its ...

  8. Americans might have to wait until 2030 for homes to be ...

    www.aol.com/buying-home-going-affordable-again...

    Viswanathan said Goldman Sachs expects US home prices to rise 4.4% in 2025, up from a 3.2% projection in April. Additionally, it could take a while before the Federal Reserve's interest rate cuts ...

  9. The inverted yield curve and the Leading Economic Index have ...

    www.aol.com/finance/inverted-yield-curve-leading...

    From the NAR: "The median existing-home price for all housing types in February was $384,500, an increase of 5.7% from the prior year ($363,600)." Homebuilder sentiment rises.