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There's even exponential growth in the rate of exponential growth. Within a few decades, machine intelligence will surpass human intelligence, leading to the Singularity—technological change so rapid and profound it represents a rupture in the fabric of human history.
Eroom's law – is a pharmaceutical drug development observation that was deliberately written as Moore's Law spelled backward in order to contrast it with the exponential advancements of other forms of technology (such as transistors) over time. It states that the cost of developing a new drug roughly doubles every nine years.
The growth of complexity eventually becomes self-limiting, and leads to a widespread "general systems collapse". Hofstadter (2006) raises concern that Ray Kurzweil is not sufficiently scientifically rigorous, that an exponential tendency of technology is not a scientific law like one of physics, and that exponential curves have no "knees". [85]
Built largely in the 1960s and 70s it struggles to meet today’s demands for reliability and resilience—let alone the exponential growth expected from new technologies like artificial ...
Extrapolating exponential growth from there one would expect huge lunar bases and crewed missions to distant planets. Instead, exploration stalled or even regressed after that. Paul Davies writes "the key point about exponential growth is that it never lasts" [42] often due to resource constraints. On the other hand, it has been shown that the ...
Market analysts point to several factors supporting sustained growth in advanced chip demand, including the exponential increase in AI model complexity, the emergence of new AI applications across ...
Fascination with this new technology has led to the creation of even more AI-focused companies. ... as both have experienced exponential growth in capital and substantial public exposure.
Exponential growth occurs when a quantity grows as an exponential function of time. The quantity grows at a rate directly proportional to its present size. For ...