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  2. Large bets in election prediction market are from overseas ...

    www.aol.com/news/large-bets-election-prediction...

    A federal appeals court sided with Kalshi on Oct. 2, paving the way for Americans to start trading on political races just one month ahead of the election. Kalshi has Trump at 57% and Harris at 43%.

  3. Polymarket predicted Trump's win. Now comes the hard part.

    www.aol.com/news/polymarket-predicted-trumps-win...

    Polymarket and Kalshi were big winners of the election. But can they maintain their momentum until 2028?

  4. Polymarket likely to remain offshore for now despite ruling ...

    www.aol.com/finance/polymarket-likely-remain...

    While Kalshi's trading volumes are not public like Polymarket's, they likely pale in comparison, with Bloomberg reporting that Kalshi did about $10 million a month in trading in April 2023, though ...

  5. Polymarket's pro-Trump election predictions aren't so ...

    www.aol.com/polymarkets-pro-trump-election...

    The betting site Polymarket has emerged as a hot topic in the 2024 presidential race. Trump's odds of winning are at 66% there based on bets. National polls generally show the race tied.

  6. Polymarket users who bet on the presidential election might ...

    www.aol.com/finance/polymarket-users-bet...

    After all, he did the same thing following the 2020 election, which led to recounts and the Jan. 6, 2021, insurrection at the U.S. Capitol. That means having clearcut election results tomorrow ...

  7. Why prediction markets can be more accurate than polls at ...

    www.aol.com/why-prediction-markets-more-accurate...

    Prediction markets can be more accurate than polling when it comes to elections, a professor told Business Insider. There's over $606 million wagered on the 2024 election on Polymarket, favoring a ...

  8. Harris-Trump polls tighten, but PredictIt and Polymarket tell ...

    www.aol.com/finance/harris-trump-polls-tighten...

    But prediction markets tell a different story. PredictIt shows Trump’s campaign in the lead as the 2024 presidential election winner. It also has the GOP winning the presidency and the electoral ...

  9. Since then, the 2024 election catapulted Polymarket into prominence when its users correctly predicted Donald Trump’s victory, and a gutsy legal gambit from its competitor, Kalshi, paved the way ...

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