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Trendlines are 30-poll local regressions, with polls weighted by proximity in time and a logarithmic function of sample size. 95% confidence ribbons represent uncertainty about the trendlines, not the likelihood that actual election results would fall within the intervals.
Here is a look at three polling averages for the presidential race nationally and in seven key battleground states as of Sept. 10 at 11 a.m. Arizona (11 electoral votes) FiveThirtyEight average ...
Not even 1 percentage point separates Kamala Harris (48%) and Donald Trump (47.3%) in head-to-head polling in battleground districts. Battleground-district poll shows Trump’s path to victory ...
In its latest poll published in September, Angus Reid Institute polling company has the Conservatives at 39%, enough for a majority in the House of Commons, versus 27% for the Liberals.
RealClearPolitics (RCP) is an American political news website and polling data aggregator.The site was formed in 2000 by former options trader John McIntyre and former advertising agency account executive Tom Bevan.
The Huffington Post has partnered with YouGov to conduct daily public opinion polls on the issues of the day, and provide a polling widget allowing readers of the online news site to compare their views to those of the nation as a whole. Show methodology Join YouGov Send feedback
The 2025 Canadian federal election will take place to elect members of the House of Commons to the 45th Canadian Parliament.Under the fixed-date provisions of the Canada Elections Act, the election would be held on October 25, 2025, but it may be called earlier if the governor general dissolves Parliament on the recommendation of the prime minister, either for a snap election or after the ...
Two words sum up the national and battleground state polls released ahead of Labor Day weekend, with fewer than 10 weeks to go until Election Day: changed and close.