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  2. Harris-Trump polls tighten, but PredictIt and Polymarket tell ...

    www.aol.com/finance/harris-trump-polls-tighten...

    Meanwhile, Polymarket shows Trump has a 54% chance of winning the presidential election with Harris trailing behind at just a 45.3% chance. PredictIt’s markets are a little closer.

  3. Trump’s chances dip slightly on Polymarket, Cooper favored as ...

    www.aol.com/finance/trump-chances-dip-slightly...

    Her odds of becoming the next president have jumped from 18% to 29% on Polymarket, and up from 27% to 40% on PredictIt. FiveThirtyEight’s approval poll show a 50% disapproval rating for the vice ...

  4. Polymarket predicted Trump's win. Now comes the hard part.

    www.aol.com/polymarket-predicted-trumps-win-now...

    Polymarket's site says more than $3.6 billion was spent betting on the race, though users in the US weren't legally allowed to participate. "Nothing is as salient as the presidential election ...

  5. Polymarket users are betting on Scott Bessent to be Trump’s ...

    www.aol.com/finance/polymarket-users-betting...

    Now people are betting on who will be his pick for secretary of the U.S. Department of the Treasury, and Polymarket shows Scott Bessent’s odds of securing that nomination at 67%, at the moment ...

  6. How prediction markets saw something the polls and pundits didn’t

    www.aol.com/prediction-markets-saw-something...

    A version of this story appeared in CNN Business’ Nightcap newsletter. To get it in your inbox, sign up for free, here. In the days leading up to the US election, pollsters had the race deadlocked.

  7. Polymarket tilts toward a Donald Trump victory in the ...

    www.aol.com/finance/polymarket-tilts-toward...

    Polymarket, built on the Polygon blockchain, has seen rapid growth this election cycle. Its total value locked (TVL) surged from $9.5 million in stablecoins at the start of the year to $220 million.

  8. Why prediction markets can be more accurate than polls at ...

    www.aol.com/why-prediction-markets-more-accurate...

    Prediction markets can be more accurate than polling when it comes to elections, a professor told Business Insider. There's over $606 million wagered on the 2024 election on Polymarket, favoring a ...

  9. Polymarket's pro-Trump election predictions aren't so ...

    www.aol.com/polymarkets-pro-trump-election...

    The betting site Polymarket has emerged as a hot topic in the 2024 presidential race. Trump's odds of winning are at 66% there based on bets. National polls generally show the race tied.