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Public opinion polls did not similarly underestimate Republican strength heading into the 2018 and 2022 congressional midterm elections when Trump wasn't on the ballot, said Franklin.
One notable pollster that does still use RDD is Selzer & Co., which had Vice President Kamala Harris leading President-elect Donald Trump by 3 points in its final poll of Iowa this year. Trump ...
The polls could systematically underestimate Trump again, like they did in 2016 and 2020. Or they could systematically underestimate the Democratic nominee again, like they did in 2012 and 2008 ...
The following nationwide polls feature Robert F. Kennedy Jr., who is an independent candidate who suspended his campaign and endorsed Donald Trump. Hypothetical polling with Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
The following graph depicts the standing of each candidate in the poll aggregators from September 2019 to November 2020. Former Vice President Joe Biden, the Democratic nominee, had an average polling lead of 7.9 percentage points over incumbent President Donald Trump, the Republican nominee.
The Emerson poll estimated Trump was ahead by 10 points. This year’s campaign produced more than a few notably off-target predictions based on intimations rather than survey data.
The sense of urgency Democrats and Democratic-leaning independents feel is evident in their views on the stakes of Trump’s time in office. In the new poll, 70% of Democratic-aligned adults said ...
Just before Election Day, national polls indicate a tight presidential race. How accurate are the polls, and when will we know who won?