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  2. Polymarket predicted Trump's win. Now comes the hard part.

    www.aol.com/polymarket-predicted-trumps-win-now...

    Polymarket and Kalshi have been building quietly, and they view elections as their chance to go mainstream. Coplan has said he was running the crypto-based company alone in his bathroom in 2020.

  3. Polymarket's pro-Trump election predictions aren't so ...

    www.aol.com/polymarkets-pro-trump-election...

    The betting site Polymarket has emerged as a hot topic in the 2024 presidential race. Trump's odds of winning are at 66% there based on bets. National polls generally show the race tied.

  4. Exclusive: Election betting site Polymarket gives Trump a 67% ...

    www.aol.com/finance/exclusive-election-betting...

    The prediction market Polymarket has skyrocketed into mainstream consciousness during the 2024 U.S. elections, with the platform reporting that users have placed $2.7 billion in bets over whether ...

  5. How prediction markets saw something the polls and pundits didn’t

    www.aol.com/prediction-markets-saw-something...

    (The same study notes that election betting fell out of favor after 1940, as scientific polling grew more sophisticated and reliable.) But just like polls, prediction markets are far from perfect.

  6. Cryptoverse: U.S. election speculators play the prediction ...

    www.aol.com/news/cryptoverse-u-election-punters...

    Kalshi, a U.S. CFTC-regulated site, has seen nearly $197 million in trading on its election outcome contract. Its second-largest betting contract, on the electoral college margin, has drawn $33.8 ...

  7. The surge in election betting has catapulted Kalshi and ... - AOL

    www.aol.com/surge-election-betting-catapulted...

    Kalshi and Polymarket zoomed to the top of the Apple App Store on Tuesday amid a surge in election betting in the waning days of the 2024 US presidential campaign. Kalshi, which is governed by the ...

  8. Polymarket - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Polymarket

    Founded in 2020 by Shayne Coplan, [3] Polymarket is a prediction market that allows users to gain/lose on the outcome of world events. [4] In January 2022, Polymarket was fined US$1.4 million by the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC), and received a cease and desist order for regulatory violations, including failure to register as a Swap Execution Facility.

  9. Polymarket users who bet on the presidential election might ...

    www.aol.com/finance/polymarket-users-bet...

    While the odds of a Trump win have shrunk on some prediction markets, Polymarket shows a 58% chance as of Monday of the former president winning the election over Harris.. In late October ...