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PredictIt is a New Zealand-based online prediction market that offers exchanges on political and financial events. [1] PredictIt is owned and operated by Victoria University of Wellington [2] with support from Aristotle, Inc. [3] The company's office is located in Washington, D.C. [4] Only United States citizens can bet on the site.
Another widely followed source of interest rate expectations is the CME Group's FedWatch tool, which in simple terms tells us the interest rates that investors are pricing into the stock market ...
The Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) raised the official cash rate (OCR) by 75 basis points to 4.25% and crucially now sees rates peaking at 5.5%, compared with a previous forecast of 4.1%.
The Bank of Canada began hiking interest rates on March 2 2022. [63] Later that same month, Oxford Economics forecasted a 24% drop in Canadian home prices by mid-2024, unless higher interest rates and anti-speculation policies fail. Were home prices to rise further (in this latter scenario), a crash of 40% and a financial crisis was to be expected.
With Biden's potential reelection on the horizon, economists are closely watching how a second term could impact interest rates across the economy. From the housing market to big initiatives like...
The successful prediction of a stock's future price could yield significant profit. The efficient market hypothesis suggests that stock prices reflect all currently available information and any price changes that are not based on newly revealed information thus are inherently unpredictable. Others disagree and those with this viewpoint possess ...