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  2. Examples of Markov chains - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Examples_of_Markov_chains

    A finite-state machine can be used as a representation of a Markov chain. Assuming a sequence of independent and identically distributed input signals (for example, symbols from a binary alphabet chosen by coin tosses), if the machine is in state y at time n , then the probability that it moves to state x at time n + 1 depends only on the ...

  3. Markov chain - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Markov_chain

    A Markov chain is a type of Markov process that has either a discrete state space or a discrete index set (often representing time), but the precise definition of a Markov chain varies. [6] For example, it is common to define a Markov chain as a Markov process in either discrete or continuous time with a countable state space (thus regardless ...

  4. Discrete-time Markov chain - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Discrete-time_Markov_chain

    A Markov chain with two states, A and E. In probability, a discrete-time Markov chain (DTMC) is a sequence of random variables, known as a stochastic process, in which the value of the next variable depends only on the value of the current variable, and not any variables in the past.

  5. Markov model - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Markov_model

    Markov-chains have been used as a forecasting methods for several topics, for example price trends, [8] wind power [9] and solar irradiance. [10] The Markov-chain forecasting models utilize a variety of different settings, from discretizing the time-series [ 9 ] to hidden Markov-models combined with wavelets [ 8 ] and the Markov-chain mixture ...

  6. Markov chain Monte Carlo - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Markov_chain_Monte_Carlo

    In statistics, Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) is a class of algorithms used to draw samples from a probability distribution.Given a probability distribution, one can construct a Markov chain whose elements' distribution approximates it – that is, the Markov chain's equilibrium distribution matches the target distribution.

  7. Markovian arrival process - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Markovian_arrival_process

    A Markov arrival process is defined by two matrices, D 0 and D 1 where elements of D 0 represent hidden transitions and elements of D 1 observable transitions. The block matrix Q below is a transition rate matrix for a continuous-time Markov chain.

  8. Absorbing Markov chain - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Absorbing_Markov_chain

    A basic property about an absorbing Markov chain is the expected number of visits to a transient state j starting from a transient state i (before being absorbed). This can be established to be given by the (i, j) entry of so-called fundamental matrix N, obtained by summing Q k for all k (from 0 to ∞).

  9. Continuous-time Markov chain - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Continuous-time_Markov_chain

    A continuous-time Markov chain (CTMC) is a continuous stochastic process in which, for each state, the process will change state according to an exponential random variable and then move to a different state as specified by the probabilities of a stochastic matrix.