Search results
Results From The WOW.Com Content Network
In that year, some polls in Florida, for example, indicated that Hillary Clinton was just a couple of percentage points ahead of Trump. ... as compared with Clinton's 47.4%. Those results were ...
For a confidence level, there is a corresponding confidence interval about the mean , that is, the interval [, +] within which values of should fall with probability . ...
When a candidate leads in the polls by a smaller margin than that, be aware that it would be totally normal by historical standards for the trailing candidate to win. 9. Don't try to "unskew" the ...
A New York Times/ Siena poll released on Aug. 10 indicated Harris ahead of Trump in Michigan by a 50-46 margin. While that sounds like Harris is leading, look closely at the margin of error, which ...
Many interpret the “margin of error,” commonly reported for public opinion polls, as accounting for all potential errors from a survey. It does not. There are many non-sampling errors, common to all surveys, that can include effects due to question wording and misreporting by respondents.
Public Policy Polling [16] Margin of error: ±4.8% Sample size: 411 Feb. 29 – Mar. 1, 2012 Rick Santorum 31%: Mitt Romney 25% Newt Gingrich 23% Ron Paul 8%, Someone else/Not sure 13% Rick Santorum 43%: Mitt Romney 33% Ron Paul 10% Not sure 14% Public Policy Polling [17] Margin of error: ±3.4% Sample size: 819 Feb 3–5, 2012 Newt Gingrich 30 ...
Exit polls are also used to collect demographic data about voters and to find out why they voted as they did. Since actual votes are cast anonymously, polling is the only way of collecting this information. Exit polls have historically and throughout the world been used as a check against, and rough indicator of, the degree of election fraud.
They will stubbornly stay within the margin of error, providing media talking points but no meaningful information. Polls also cannot account for unexpected events that can disrupt voting.