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  2. Statistical risk - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Statistical_risk

    Statistical risk is a quantification of a situation's risk using statistical methods.These methods can be used to estimate a probability distribution for the outcome of a specific variable, or at least one or more key parameters of that distribution, and from that estimated distribution a risk function can be used to obtain a single non-negative number representing a particular conception of ...

  3. Minimax estimator - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Minimax_estimator

    An example is shown on the left. The parameter space has just two elements and each point on the graph corresponds to the risk of a decision rule: the x-coordinate is the risk when the parameter is and the y-coordinate is the risk when the parameter is . In this decision problem, the minimax estimator lies on a line segment connecting two ...

  4. Relative risk - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Relative_risk

    The group exposed to treatment (left) has half the risk (RR = 4/8 = 0.5) of an adverse outcome (black) compared to the unexposed group (right). The relative risk (RR) or risk ratio is the ratio of the probability of an outcome in an exposed group to the probability

  5. Mean squared error - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Mean_squared_error

    The MSE either assesses the quality of a predictor (i.e., a function mapping arbitrary inputs to a sample of values of some random variable), or of an estimator (i.e., a mathematical function mapping a sample of data to an estimate of a parameter of the population from which the data is sampled).

  6. Stein's unbiased risk estimate - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Stein's_unbiased_risk_estimate

    A standard application of SURE is to choose a parametric form for an estimator, and then optimize the values of the parameters to minimize the risk estimate. This technique has been applied in several settings. For example, a variant of the James–Stein estimator can be derived by finding the optimal shrinkage estimator. [2]

  7. Hazard ratio - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Hazard_ratio

    For two groups that differ only in treatment condition, the ratio of the hazard functions is given by , where is the estimate of treatment effect derived from the regression model. This hazard ratio, that is, the ratio between the predicted hazard for a member of one group and that for a member of the other group, is given by holding everything ...

  8. Bayes estimator - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Bayes_estimator

    The Bayes risk of ^ is defined as ((, ^)), where the expectation is taken over the probability distribution of : this defines the risk function as a function of ^. An estimator θ ^ {\displaystyle {\widehat {\theta }}} is said to be a Bayes estimator if it minimizes the Bayes risk among all estimators.

  9. PERT distribution - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/PERT_distribution

    In probability and statistics, the PERT distributions are a family of continuous probability distributions defined by the minimum (a), most likely (b) and maximum (c) values that a variable can take. It is a transformation of the four-parameter beta distribution with an additional assumption that its expected value is