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Falling birth rates have put major global economies on the path toward "population collapse ... Countries need a fertility rate of about 2.1 kids per family to maintain a stable population. But ...
That is the so-called "replacement rate" needed to maintain population numbers from one generation to the next. The share of Americans over 65 grew faster from 2010 to 2020 than in any decade in ...
A map of when European fertility rates fell below replacement levels Map of countries by crude birth rate. Map of countries by total fertility rate. Sub-replacement fertility is a total fertility rate (TFR) that (if sustained) leads to each new generation being less populous than the older, previous one in a given area.
[3] [4] [5] Conversely, other researchers have found that national birth registries data from 2022 and 2023 that cover half the world's population indicate that the 2022 UN projections overestimated fertility rates by 10 to 20% and are already outdated, that the global fertility rate has possibly already fallen below the sub-replacement ...
The U.S. birth rate has been steadily declining for years, but fairly recently it has tipped over into an alarming category. The estimated “replacement fertility rate,” or the number of births ...
The recovery of the birth rate in most western countries around 1940 that produced the "baby boom", with annual growth rates in the 1.0 – 1.5% range, and which peaked during the period 1962–1968 at 2.1% per year, [13] temporarily dispelled prior concerns about population decline, and the world was once again fearful of overpopulation.
Replacement fertility is the total fertility rate at which women give birth to enough babies to sustain population levels, assuming that mortality rates remain constant and net migration is zero. [10] If replacement level fertility is sustained over a sufficiently long period, each generation will exactly replace itself. [10]
Among the many challenges shrinking population growth poses is a less dynamic economy. Fewer workers in the labor market could mean a decline in production and competition.