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The sunrise problem illustrates the difficulty of using probability theory when evaluating the plausibility of statements or beliefs. According to the Bayesian interpretation of probability , probability theory can be used to evaluate the plausibility of the statement, "The sun will rise tomorrow."
The problem of future contingents seems to have been first discussed by Aristotle in chapter 9 of his On Interpretation (De Interpretatione), using the famous sea-battle example. [1] Roughly a generation later, Diodorus Cronus from the Megarian school of philosophy stated a version of the problem in his notorious master argument . [ 2 ]
In Chapter Four, Tolle says that "tomorrow's bills are not the problem" and can be a "core delusion" that changes a "mere situation, event or emotion" into a reason for suffering and unhappiness. [13] The book also calls "waiting" a "state of mind" that we should snap ourselves out of. [13]
The problem is that the platforms’ decisions to do so are so consequential — because of the platforms’ size. When a small internet forum adopts a policy about the kind of speech it wants to ...
The problem is bigger than the capabilities and resources of any one fire department. “You simply cannot have enough firefighters on the ground to contain something that is so violent, and with ...
Goldbach’s Conjecture. One of the greatest unsolved mysteries in math is also very easy to write. Goldbach’s Conjecture is, “Every even number (greater than two) is the sum of two primes ...
The rational outcome of your deliberation tomorrow morning is the action that will be part of your life going as well as possible, subject to the constraint that it be compatible with your commitment—in this case, compatible with the sincere intention that you form today to drink the toxin. And so the rational action is to drink the toxin.
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