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Polymarket declined to comment for this story, but a person familiar with the company said it was unlikely the court ruling would result in any sites offering bets in the U.S. on the presidential ...
After all, he did the same thing following the 2020 election, which led to recounts and the Jan. 6, 2021, insurrection at the U.S. Capitol. That means having clearcut election results tomorrow ...
Polymarket and Kalshi were big winners of the election. But can they maintain their momentum until 2028?
On October 7, 2024, Polymarket showed a spike in the odds Donald Trump would win the 2024 election, to 53.3%, with a corresponding decline in Kamala Harris's odds, to 46.1%. Two Polymarket competitors continued to show Harris with better odds of winning, at about 51%; Polymarket also showed a slight edge for Harris throughout September.
Since then, the 2024 election catapulted Polymarket into prominence when its users correctly predicted Donald Trump’s victory, and a gutsy legal gambit from its competitor, Kalshi, paved the way ...
A federal appeals court sided with Kalshi on Oct. 2, paving the way for Americans to start trading on political races just one month ahead of the election. Kalshi has Trump at 57% and Harris at 43%.
Prediction markets can be more accurate than polling when it comes to elections, a professor told Business Insider. There's over $606 million wagered on the 2024 election on Polymarket, favoring a ...
Kalshi and Polymarket zoomed to the top of the Apple App Store on Tuesday amid a surge in election betting in the waning days of the 2024 US presidential campaign. Kalshi, which is governed by the ...