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  2. Confidence and prediction bands - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Confidence_and_prediction...

    A confidence band is used in statistical analysis to represent the uncertainty in an estimate of a curve or function based on limited or noisy data. Similarly, a prediction band is used to represent the uncertainty about the value of a new data-point on the curve, but subject to noise. Confidence and prediction bands are often used as part of ...

  3. Probabilistic forecasting - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Probabilistic_forecasting

    Probabilistic forecasting summarizes what is known about, or opinions about, future events. In contrast to single-valued forecasts (such as forecasting that the maximum temperature at a given site on a given day will be 23 degrees Celsius, or that the result in a given football match will be a no-score draw), probabilistic forecasts assign a probability to each of a number of different ...

  4. Altman Z-score - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Altman_Z-score

    Altman Z-score is a customized version of the discriminant analysis technique of R. A. Fisher (1936). William Beaver's work, published in 1966 and 1968, was the first to apply a statistical method, t -tests to predict bankruptcy for a pair-matched sample of firms. Beaver applied this method to evaluate the importance of each of several ...

  5. Stock market prediction - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Stock_market_prediction

    Stock market prediction is the act of trying to determine the future value of a company stock or other financial instrument traded on an exchange. The successful prediction of a stock's future price could yield significant profit. The efficient market hypothesis suggests that stock prices reflect all currently available information and any ...

  6. Economic forecasting - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Economic_forecasting

    Economic forecasting is the process of making predictions about the economy. Forecasts can be carried out at a high level of aggregation—for example for GDP, inflation, unemployment or the fiscal deficit —or at a more disaggregated level, for specific sectors of the economy or even specific firms. Economic forecasting is a measure to find ...

  7. Prediction interval - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Prediction_interval

    Prediction interval. In statistical inference, specifically predictive inference, a prediction interval is an estimate of an interval in which a future observation will fall, with a certain probability, given what has already been observed. Prediction intervals are often used in regression analysis. A simple example is given by a six-sided die ...

  8. Prediction: This Growth ETF Will Beat the Market Over the ...

    www.aol.com/finance/prediction-growth-etf-beat...

    For example, if you'd invested $10,000 in a market index fund over the past 10 years, you'd have almost $33,000 today. But if you'd invested the same amount in the Vanguard Growth ETF instead, you ...

  9. Demand forecasting - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Demand_forecasting

    Demand forecasting is the prediction of the quantity of goods and services that will be demanded by consumers at a future point in time. [ 1 ] More specifically, the methods of demand forecasting entail using predictive analytics to estimate customer demand in consideration of key economic conditions. This is an important tool in optimizing ...