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The betting site Polymarket has emerged as a hot topic in the 2024 presidential race. Trump's odds of winning are at 66% there based on bets. National polls generally show the race tied.
Days before the election, Polymarket odds showed Trump had a 60% chance of winning. The electorate took notice: Kalshi and Polymarket soared to the top of Apple's App Store on Tuesday evening.
Betsson, Bwin, Points Bet, Polymarket and Smarkets now have the race as a pick'em. Betfair gives Trump a 1% edge over Harris, 48% to 47%. Bvoda still has Harris ahead, 51% to 49%.
With nearly $1 billion wagered on the outcome of the presidential election at Polymarket, Trump's odds of winning were listed as 61.3%, compared to 38.6% for Harris, at 8:52 a.m. ET on Thursday.
While the odds of a Trump win have shrunk on some prediction markets, Polymarket shows a 58% chance as of Monday of the former president winning the election over Harris.. In late October ...
The prediction market Polymarket has skyrocketed into mainstream consciousness during the 2024 U.S. elections, with the platform reporting that users have placed $2.7 billion in bets over whether ...
(The same study notes that election betting fell out of favor after 1940, as scientific polling grew more sophisticated and reliable.) But just like polls, prediction markets are far from perfect.
Here are some of the most popular bets on Kalshi and Polymarket now that the election is over. Super Bowl Champion 2025 The Chargers and Chiefs last faced off in January 2024.