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  2. Bayesian inference - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Bayesian_inference

    Bayesian inference is an important technique in statistics, and especially in mathematical statistics. Bayesian updating is particularly important in the dynamic analysis of a sequence of data. Bayesian inference has found application in a wide range of activities, including science, engineering, philosophy, medicine, sport, and law.

  3. Bayesian statistics - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Bayesian_statistics

    Bayesian inference uses Bayes' theorem to update probabilities after more evidence is obtained or known. [2] [10] Furthermore, Bayesian methods allow for placing priors on entire models and calculating their posterior probabilities using Bayes' theorem. These posterior probabilities are proportional to the product of the prior and the marginal ...

  4. Bayesian probability - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Bayesian_probability

    Bayesian probability (/ ˈ b eɪ z i ə n / BAY-zee-ən or / ˈ b eɪ ʒ ən / BAY-zhən) [1] is an interpretation of the concept of probability, in which, instead of frequency or propensity of some phenomenon, probability is interpreted as reasonable expectation [2] representing a state of knowledge [3] or as quantification of a personal belief.

  5. Bayes' theorem - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Bayes'_theorem

    In many applications, for instance in Bayesian inference, the event B is fixed in the discussion and we wish to consider the effect of its having been observed on our belief in various possible events A. In such situations the denominator of the last expression, the probability of the given evidence B, is fixed; what we want to vary is A.

  6. Bayesian hierarchical modeling - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Bayesian_hierarchical_modeling

    Bayesian research cycle using Bayesian nonlinear mixed effects model: (a) standard research cycle and (b) Bayesian-specific workflow [16]. A three stage version of Bayesian hierarchical modeling could be used to calculate probability at 1) an individual level, 2) at the level of population and 3) the prior, which is an assumed probability ...

  7. Bayesian linear regression - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Bayesian_linear_regression

    Bayesian linear regression is a type of conditional modeling in which the mean of one variable is described by a linear combination of other variables, with the goal of obtaining the posterior probability of the regression coefficients (as well as other parameters describing the distribution of the regressand) and ultimately allowing the out-of-sample prediction of the regressand (often ...

  8. Bernstein–von Mises theorem - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Bernstein–von_Mises_theorem

    In Bayesian inference, the Bernstein–von Mises theorem provides the basis for using Bayesian credible sets for confidence statements in parametric models.It states that under some conditions, a posterior distribution converges in total variation distance to a multivariate normal distribution centered at the maximum likelihood estimator ^ with covariance matrix given by (), where is the true ...

  9. Recursive Bayesian estimation - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Recursive_Bayesian_estimation

    A Bayes filter is an algorithm used in computer science for calculating the probabilities of multiple beliefs to allow a robot to infer its position and orientation. Essentially, Bayes filters allow robots to continuously update their most likely position within a coordinate system, based on the most recently acquired sensor data.