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  2. Harris-Trump polls tighten, but PredictIt and Polymarket tell ...

    www.aol.com/finance/harris-trump-polls-tighten...

    But prediction markets tell a different story. PredictIt shows Trump’s campaign in the lead as the 2024 presidential election winner. It also has the GOP winning the presidency and the electoral ...

  3. Polymarket predicted Trump's win. Now comes the hard part.

    www.aol.com/polymarket-predicted-trumps-win-now...

    The race that Donald Trump ultimately ran away with was deemed neck and neck for days — unless you looked at the prediction markets. Election betting on Kalshi and Polymarket had been favoring ...

  4. Why prediction markets can be more accurate than polls at ...

    www.aol.com/why-prediction-markets-more-accurate...

    Prediction markets can be more accurate than polling when it comes to elections, a professor told Business Insider. There's over $606 million wagered on the 2024 election on Polymarket, favoring a ...

  5. Forget polls, the stock market is the most accurate predictor ...

    www.aol.com/finance/forget-polls-stock-market...

    In the wake of the latest presidential debate between Vice President Kamala Harris and former President Donald Trump, election polls are in the spotlight.. Harris now has a slight edge in many ...

  6. Polymarket users who bet on the presidential election might ...

    www.aol.com/finance/polymarket-users-bet...

    While the odds of a Trump win have shrunk on some prediction markets, Polymarket shows a 58% chance as of Monday of the former president winning the election over Harris.. In late October ...

  7. What to know about the potential $30 million whale moving ...

    www.aol.com/5-things-know-mystery-30-172117457.html

    Prediction markets show Trump leading Harris in 2024 election odds. The betting platform Polymarket has seen its trading volume surge, with $1.24 billion in October alone.

  8. Polymarket users have wagered $3.2 billion on the outcome of ...

    www.aol.com/finance/polymarket-users-wagered-3-2...

    Prediction markets are, for lack of a better term, just betting lines. ... The central question of whether Harris or former President Donald Trump would win the presidential election saw $3.2 ...

  9. Donald Trump gains the upper hand in the prediction markets ...

    www.aol.com/finance/donald-trump-gains-upper...

    Polymarket, a cryptocurrency-based prediction marketplace, currently shows Trump ahead in the presidential election by 57.7% to 41.9%. Harris, though, is projected by the same site to win the ...