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This can introduce new errors if voters misstate their previous votes. When used for the 2024 presidential election it had produced results closer to the 2020 presidential election than the 2022 mid-term election. [2]
Polls almost always undercount Trump’s support, leading him to drastically overperform pre-election assumptions. At this point in 2020, Trump trailed then-candidate Joe Biden by 7 points per the ...
This analysis is based on all non-tracking polls with a final field date between 180 and 15 days before the presidential election in each of the last five election cycles, as of Oct. 28 at 9 a.m ...
The 2024 United States presidential election in Arkansas took place on Tuesday, November 5, 2024, as part of the 2024 United States elections in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia will participate. Arkansas voters chose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote.
Conversely, Enten discussed what would happen if polling errors predicting a red wave in the 2022 midterm elections appeared on Nov. 5, 2024. "What happens if we have a polling miss like 2022?"
Incumbent Republican treasurer Larry Walther cannot seek a full term following his appointment by Governor Sarah Huckabee Sanders after the death of Mark Lowery. [2] Secretary of State John Thurston entered the race as a Republican candidate. [3] Former state senator John Pagan entered the race as a Democratic candidate. [4]
The elections took place concurrently with the 2024 presidential election, elections to the House of Representatives and Senate, and numerous state and local elections. This was the first election cycle since 2017 that no incumbent Democratic governors ran for re-election.
Early bird Chatham (48.5%), Bryan (60.3%) and Effingham (50.3%) voters showed up in high numbers, and if Election Day voters keep pace with 2020, coastal Georgia will eclipse previous election ...