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The 538 predictive model for the 2024 presidential election shows President Biden more likely to win than former President Trump — Biden’s best odds since May. The model’s Tuesday update ...
Trump-Biden 2024 Going into what proved to be a disastrous debate for Biden, Trump was favored at Betfair with -130 odds, compared to +200 for Biden. The day following the debate Biden's odd ...
ABC News Project 538: The final poll shows Harris with a 48.0% to 46.8% edge over Trump. 270toWin : Showing a composite of the latest national polls , Harris currently leads Trump by 1.2%.
Harris is now +350 to win November's election, trailing only Republican candidate Donald Trump, who is a heavy favorite to win the election at -161. Trump's odds dipped a little after Biden bowed out.
In the leadup to Biden's withdrawal, 538 was the only professional election forecaster to give Biden majority odds of winning the 2024 election. [93] Silver criticized Morris's model, describing it as at best ignoring the polls and giving Biden positive odds merely due to his incumbency, and at worst as being "buggy".
Forecasts by 538 and Decision Desk HQ/The Hill have been suspended since Biden withdrew from the race, but Silver Bulletin’s model on Aug. 18 suggests Harris has a 53.5% chance of winning in ...
The numbers, listed on Coves.com, implies Trump has a 60% chance to win the election. This article originally appeared on Asbury Park Press: President betting odds from Smarkets, 538, Betfair and more
Two weeks ago, 538's forecast of the presidential election gave Vice President Kamala Harris just a 58-in-100 chance of defeating former President Donald Trump on Nov. 5. You might be tempted to ...