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The projections for the federal funds rate are the value of the midpoint of the projected appropriate target range for the federal funds rate or the projected appropriate target level for the federal funds rate at the end of the specified calendar year or over the longer run.
According to the CME Group's FedWatch Tool, about two-thirds of fed funds futures traders are betting the Fed will implement another 0.25-point rate cut at its Dec. 18 meeting. And by the end of ...
Interest-rate forecast. We project the federal-funds rate target range to fall from 4.75%-5.00% currently to 4.50%-4.75% at the end of 2024, 3.00%-3.25% at the end of 2025, and 2.00%-2.25%...
These forecasts imply there would be another 0.25% interest rate cut this year, followed by an additional 1% worth of rate cuts in 2025 and a subsequent 0.5% in 2026.
Looking further ahead, the Fed’s “dot plot” forecasts four more 25 bp cuts (totaling 100 bp) in 2025. The Fed has also increased projections for its neutral funds rate by another eighth of a percentage point to 2.875% — a figure it expects to reach in 2026.
Federal Reserve officials continue to expect three quarter-point interest-rate reductions this year. But they now predict higher rates in the coming years than they did three months ago.
For Federal Reserve staff forecasts, measure is the federal funds rate. For other forecasts, measure is the rate on 3-month Treasury bills. Projection errors are calculated using average levels, in percent, in the fourth quarter. For release at 2:00 p.m., EDT, September 18, 2024.
Graph and download economic data for FOMC Summary of Economic Projections for the Fed Funds Rate, Central Tendency, High (FEDTARCTH) from 2024 to 2027 about projection, federal, rate, and USA.
The Fed’s move comes just days after America elected Donald J. Trump as its next president, and at a moment when the U.S. economy stands on the brink of change. Fed officials lowered interest ...
The longer-run projections are the rates of growth, inflation, unemployment, and federal funds rate to which a policymaker expects the economy to converge over time in the absence of further shocks and under appropriate monetary policy.