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Meanwhile, Polymarket shows Trump has a 54% chance of winning the presidential election with Harris trailing behind at just a 45.3% chance. PredictIt’s markets are a little closer.
Her odds of becoming the next president have jumped from 18% to 29% on Polymarket, and up from 27% to 40% on PredictIt. FiveThirtyEight’s approval poll show a 50% disapproval rating for the vice ...
The prediction market Polymarket had Donald Trump favored to win the presidential election, and then he became the president-elect, again. Now people are betting on who will be his pick for ...
Polymarket's site says more than $3.6 billion was spent betting on the race, though users in the US weren't legally allowed to participate. "Nothing is as salient as the presidential election ...
A version of this story appeared in CNN Business’ Nightcap newsletter. To get it in your inbox, sign up for free, here. In the days leading up to the US election, pollsters had the race deadlocked.
Prediction markets can be more accurate than polling when it comes to elections, a professor told Business Insider. There's over $606 million wagered on the 2024 election on Polymarket, favoring a ...
Polymarket’s future in the U.S. remains in doubt. In 2021, derivative market regulator the Commodity Futures Trading Commission fined the platform over $1 million for operating in the U.S.
Crypto bros see Polymarket’s rapid movement on Tuesday night as fulfilling a prophecy. A mystery Polymarket trader bet major money that Trump would win—and it just paid off to the tune of $40 ...