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  2. Mathematical model - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Mathematical_model

    [2] The use of mathematical models to solve problems in business or military operations is a large part of the field of operations research. Mathematical models are also used in music, [3] linguistics, [4] and philosophy (for example, intensively in analytic philosophy). A model may help to explain a system and to study the effects of different ...

  3. Pythagorean expectation - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Pythagorean_expectation

    If each team wins in proportion to its quality, A's probability of winning would be 1.25 / (1.25 + 0.8), which equals 50 2 / (50 2 + 40 2), the Pythagorean formula. The same relationship is true for any number of runs scored and allowed, as can be seen by writing the "quality" probability as [50/40] / [ 50/40 + 40/50], and clearing fractions .

  4. Probabilistic forecasting - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Probabilistic_forecasting

    Probabilistic forecasting summarizes what is known about, or opinions about, future events. In contrast to single-valued forecasts (such as forecasting that the maximum temperature at a given site on a given day will be 23 degrees Celsius, or that the result in a given football match will be a no-score draw), probabilistic forecasts assign a probability to each of a number of different ...

  5. Bayesian probability - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Bayesian_probability

    Bayesian probability (/ ˈ b eɪ z i ə n / BAY-zee-ən or / ˈ b eɪ ʒ ən / BAY-zhən) [1] is an interpretation of the concept of probability, in which, instead of frequency or propensity of some phenomenon, probability is interpreted as reasonable expectation [2] representing a state of knowledge [3] or as quantification of a personal belief.

  6. Coefficient of determination - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Coefficient_of_determination

    Ordinary least squares regression of Okun's law.Since the regression line does not miss any of the points by very much, the R 2 of the regression is relatively high.. In statistics, the coefficient of determination, denoted R 2 or r 2 and pronounced "R squared", is the proportion of the variation in the dependent variable that is predictable from the independent variable(s).

  7. Probability - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Probability

    The probabilities of rolling several numbers using two dice. Probability is the branch of mathematics and statistics concerning events and numerical descriptions of how likely they are to occur.