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How accurate were those polls? According to CNN Senior Data Reporter Harry Enten , the historical polling average since 1972 has been 3.4 percent off of how the election turned out.
The 2020 United States Senate elections were held on November 3, 2020, [1] with the 33 class 2 seats of the Senate contested in regular elections. [2] Of these, 21 were held by Republicans, and 12 by Democrats. The winners were elected to 6-year terms from January 3, 2021, to January 3, 2027. [3]
It is informed by turnout in recent elections, details on votes cast in advance and – after polls close – early returns. The estimate may fluctuate as election officials report additional results and AP learns more about how many voters have cast a ballot.
Assessing the accuracy of polls is much more complicated than it looks.
Electoral-vote.com is a website created by computer scientist Andrew S. Tanenbaum.The site's primary content was originally poll analysis to project election outcomes. Since the 2016 elections, the site also has featured daily commentary on political news stories.
Contests for the six non-voting congressional delegates from the District of Columbia and the permanently inhabited U.S. territories were also held during the 2020 elections. Regularly-scheduled elections were held in 86 of the 99 state legislative chambers, and 11 states held their gubernatorial elections. Only one state governorship and two ...
Pollsters likely will cheer this year’s results, which are not remotely as shocking as those of 2020 when, overall, the polls turned in their worst performance in 40 years.
The following graph depicts the standing of each candidate in the poll aggregators from September 2019 to November 2020. Former Vice President Joe Biden, the Democratic nominee, had an average polling lead of 7.9 percentage points over incumbent President Donald Trump, the Republican nominee. Biden would win the national popular vote by 4.4 ...