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The majority of bets went for Trump, with $1.3 billion wagered on the former president and $827 million on Harris. Polymarket users have wagered $3.2 billion on the outcome of the election—and ...
Meanwhile, Polymarket shows Trump has a 54% chance of winning the presidential election with Harris trailing behind at just a 45.3% chance. PredictIt’s markets are a little closer.
As of Wednesday, Polymarket users have indicated Trump has nearly a 64% chance of winning the election, with Harris trailing at just 36%. PredictIt shows Trump in the lead with a 59% chance and ...
By Election Day, Polymarket users had wagered a whopping $3.2 billion on the outcome of the election, with a majority of bets on a win by former President Donald Trump.
1.2 Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Jill Stein vs. Chase Oliver vs. Cornel West 2 National poll results Toggle National poll results subsection
While the odds of a Trump win have shrunk on some prediction markets, Polymarket shows a 58% chance as of Monday of the former president winning the election over Harris.. In late October ...
Silver, a Polymarket advisor, said the shift in Trump's favor was a "larger swing than is justified." [17] Polymarket competitor Predictit had since shown Trump with better odds of winning after previously favoring Kamala Harris. [18] The divergence continued into mid October 2024, showing Trump with 60% odds on October 18.
With nearly $1 billion wagered on the outcome of the presidential election at Polymarket, Trump's odds of winning were listed as 61.3%, compared to 38.6% for Harris, at 8:52 a.m. ET on Thursday.