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In the most basic sense, there are four possible outcomes for a COVID-19 test, whether it’s molecular PCR or rapid antigen: true positive, true negative, false positive, and false negative.
Test errors can be false positives (the test is positive, but the virus is not present) or false negatives, (the test is negative, but the virus is present). [179] In a study of over 900,000 rapid antigen tests, false positives were found to occur at a rate of 0.05% or 1 in 2000.
A false positive Covid-19 test result can happen, but it’s rare, says Brian Labus, Ph.D., M.P.H., assistant professor at the University of Nevada Las Vegas School of Public Health.
The false positive rate (FPR) is the proportion of all negatives that still yield positive test outcomes, i.e., the conditional probability of a positive test result given an event that was not present. The false positive rate is equal to the significance level. The specificity of the test is equal to 1 minus the false positive rate.
Antigen tests can be analyzed within a few minutes. Antigen tests are less accurate than PCR tests. It has a low false positive rate, but a higher false negative rate. A negative test result may require confirmation with a PCR test. [8] Advocates claim that antigen tests are less expensive and can be scaled up more rapidly than PCR tests. [8]
False positives "can happen with any test" and, if someone tests positive for COVID-19 with a rapid test but does not have symptoms, he recommends following up with a PCR test to confirm that this ...
The positive predictive value (PPV), or precision, is defined as = + = where a "true positive" is the event that the test makes a positive prediction, and the subject has a positive result under the gold standard, and a "false positive" is the event that the test makes a positive prediction, and the subject has a negative result under the gold standard.
Don't read the test too early or too late, the experts say, because that may give you a false-negative or false-positive result. Only read your results within the time window that the COVID-19 ...