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  2. The Keys to the White House - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Keys_to_the_White_House

    The Keys to the White House, also known as the 13 keys, is a prediction system for determining the outcome of presidential elections in the United States.It was developed by American historian Allan Lichtman and Russian geophysicist Vladimir Keilis-Borok in 1981, adapting methods that Keilis-Borok designed for earthquake prediction.

  3. How an ‘October surprise’ could impact the 2024 election ...

    www.aol.com/october-surprise-could-impact-2024...

    Lichtman said he's never changed a prediction in 40 years. “One of the greatest myths of American politics is the October surprise,” the renowned historian told CNN’s Michael Smerconish ...

  4. Why historian who accurately predicts elections says ... - AOL

    www.aol.com/why-historian-accurately-predicts...

    Lichtman predicted last month that Vice President Kamala Harris would win. He based his prediction off thirteen keys, or “big picture true-false questions that tap into the strength and ...

  5. Nostradamus pollster predicts how an October surprise could ...

    www.aol.com/nostradamus-pollster-predicts...

    “One of the greatest myths of American politics is the October surprise,” Lichtman told CNN’s Michael Smerconish on SiriusXM. “I have never changed my prediction in response to an October ...

  6. Nostradamus pollster reveals latest 2024 prediction – and how ...

    www.aol.com/nostradamus-pollster-reveals-latest...

    Lichtman maintained his method and predictions are “totally non-partisan,” highlighting how he correctly predicted the “two most conservative presidents of our time,” referring to Ronald ...

  7. Historian who predicted 9 of the last 10 elections says 2024 ...

    www.aol.com/historian-predicted-9-last-10...

    Lichtman's first prediction was in 1982, when he said Ronald Reagan would win reelection. He developed the model with Vladimir Keilis-Borok, a Russian seismologist who worked at understanding not ...

  8. Allan Lichtman vs. Nate Silver: Who will accurately predict ...

    www.aol.com/allan-lichtman-vs-nate-silver...

    Prediction records. Lichtman has correctly predicted the outcome of 9 out of the 10 most recent presidential elections, dating back to 1984. ... Michael Jordan's son, arrested on DUI, cocaine ...

  9. Election ‘Nostradamus’ says October surprise is a myth and ...

    www.aol.com/finance/election-nostradamus-says...

    Appearing on CNN, Lichtman said: “Nothing has changed. The biggest myth in American politics is the so-called October surprise. I’ve always issued my predictions before then, and never change ...