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New data predicts population decline after 2080.
Based on this, the UN projected that the world population, 8 billion as of 2023, would peak around the year 2086 at about 10.4 billion, and then start a slow decline, assuming a continuing decrease in the global average fertility rate from 2.5 births per woman during the 2015–2020 period to 1.8 by the year 2100 (the medium-variant projection).
Taiwan recorded more deaths than births for the first time in 2020, despite recording virtually no COVID-19 deaths, [44] thus starting an era of demographic decline for the foreseeable future. Taiwan's population fell from 23.6 million in 2020 to 23.4 in 2023, while the total fertility rate decreased from 1.05 in 2020 to 0.85 in 2023.
Due to higher death rates from COVID-19 and deaths at younger ages, Black Americans suffered a greater decline in life expectancy in 2020 than their White counterparts. Specifically, projected life expectancy declined by 0.73 years for White people but 2.26 years for Black people.
That means 1 in 4 people in the world live in a country with a population that has already peaked in size. ... the pace of human-caused climate change.The global fertility rate is currently 2.25 ...
The World Population Prospects 2024 report from the U.N.'s Department of Economic and Social Affairs predicts global population growth from 8.2 billion this year to approximately 10.3 billion in ...
As of 2023, the COVID-19 pandemic is an ongoing global pandemic of coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) caused by severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS CoV‑2). Its effect has been broad, affecting general society, the global economy, culture, ecology, politics, and other areas.
The global decline in population should not be feared but embraced as an opportunity to rethink and reshape our economic models for greater equity and resilience. We have scant choice otherwise.