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Democratic nominee Kamala Harris will be the next president of the United States and beat Republican rival Donald Trump on Election Day, or so historian and election forecaster Allan Lichtman ...
Historian Allan Lichtman has announced his prediction on whether Donald Trump or Kamala Harris will win the 2024 presidential election. Historian who accurately predicted 9 of last 10 presidential ...
Historian Allan Lichtman has announced his prediction on whether Donald Trump or Kamala Harris will win the 2024 presidential election. Historian who predicted 9 of last 10 presidential elections ...
Local regression of two-way polling between Trump, Biden and Kennedy conducted up to the 2024 United States presidential election (excludes others and undecided). The dashed line marks Biden's withdrawal from the race.
Meanwhile, Polymarket shows Trump has a 54% chance of winning the presidential election with Harris trailing behind at just a 45.3% chance. PredictIt’s markets are a little closer.
J. Ann Selzer's once-respected poll showed that Kamala Harris was leading in Iowa — only for Trump to win the state by more than 13 percentage points on Election Day.
On Tuesday, a Reuters/Ipsos poll showed Harris now leading Trump 44% to 42%. The two had been tied in the outlet's poll from the week prior, though that was before she officially entered the race.
The poll of 1,000 likely voters found a near-identical deadlock when those surveyed were asked who they expect to win: 50% expect Trump to be the victor, while 49% said Harris.