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FiveThirtyEight is the 2008 Weblog Award Winner for "Best Political Coverage". [98] FiveThirtyEight earned a 2009 "Bloggie" as the "Best Weblog about Politics" in the 9th Annual Weblog Awards. [99] In April 2009, Silver was named "Blogger of the Year" in the 6th Annual Opinion Awards of The Week, for his work on FiveThirtyEight. [100]
That undershoot of 3 points follows polls in 2020 that underestimated Trump's national margin by 4 points and in 2016 that underestimated his performance by 2 points, according to 538's averages ...
Trump leads — by a tiny four-tenths of a point — in The Hill/DDHQ average. However, two other polling averages, from FiveThirtyEight and Nate Silver’s Silver Bulletin, have Harris up by ...
The following graph depicts the standing of each candidate in the poll aggregators from September 2019 to November 2020. Former Vice President Joe Biden, the Democratic nominee, had an average polling lead of 7.9 percentage points over incumbent President Donald Trump, the Republican nominee. Biden would win the national popular vote by 4.4 ...
In the final days before the 2020 presidential election, polls generally pointed to a clear victory for now-President Joe Biden. As of Oct. 30 at 11:30 a.m. Eastern, the margin between Vice ...
[1] [2] Gallup polling has often been accurate in predicting the outcome of presidential elections and the margin of victory for the winner. [3] However, it missed some close elections: 1948, 1976 and 2004, the popular vote in 2000, and the likely-voter numbers in 2012. [ 3 ]
The polling average curated by ABC’s 538, ... Clinton led the polling averages by 6.0 points, and in 2020 Biden led by 7.4. ... 2025 NFL mock draft 5.0: Titans take 'generational' talent, while ...
In nine of the 15 polls that make up the polling average referenced ... By late July of 2020, Trump’s popularity as measured by the 538 average was somewhat improved but still significantly high ...