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Confidence bands can be constructed around estimates of the empirical distribution function.Simple theory allows the construction of point-wise confidence intervals, but it is also possible to construct a simultaneous confidence band for the cumulative distribution function as a whole by inverting the Kolmogorov-Smirnov test, or by using non-parametric likelihood methods.
Graph of points and linear least squares lines in the simple linear regression numerical example. The 0.975 quantile of Student's t-distribution with 13 degrees of freedom is t * 13 = 2.1604, and thus the 95% confidence intervals for α and β are
Prediction intervals are often used in regression analysis. A simple example is given by a six-sided die with face values ranging from 1 to 6. The confidence interval for the estimated expected value of the face value will be around 3.5 and will become narrower with a larger sample size.
In the simple linear regression case, Working–Hotelling–Scheffé confidence bands, drawn by connecting the upper and lower limits of the mean response at every level, take the shape of hyperbolas. In drawing, they are sometimes approximated by the Graybill–Bowden confidence bands, which are linear and hence easier to graph: [2]
Example of a cubic polynomial regression, which is a type of linear regression. Although polynomial regression fits a curve model to the data, as a statistical estimation problem it is linear, in the sense that the regression function E(y | x) is linear in the unknown parameters that are estimated from the data.
The confidence interval can be expressed in terms of statistical significance, e.g.: "The 95% confidence interval represents values that are not statistically significantly different from the point estimate at the .05 level." [20] Interpretation of the 95% confidence interval in terms of statistical significance.
A confidence interval for the slope estimate may be determined as the interval containing the middle 95% of the slopes of lines determined by pairs of points [13] and may be estimated quickly by sampling pairs of points and determining the 95% interval of the sampled slopes. According to simulations, approximately 600 sample pairs are ...
For example, if z = 2.2 is observed and a two-sided p-value is desired to test the null hypothesis that =, the p-value is 2 Φ(−2.2) = 0.028, where Φ is the standard normal cumulative distribution function. To obtain a confidence interval for ρ, we first compute a confidence interval for F():