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ECMs are a theoretically-driven approach useful for estimating both short-term and long-term effects of one time series on another. The term error-correction relates to the fact that last-period's deviation from a long-run equilibrium, the error, influences its short-run dynamics. Thus ECMs directly estimate the speed at which a dependent ...
considered as a function of , is the likelihood function, given the outcome of the random variable . Sometimes the probability of "the value of for the parameter value " is written as P(X = x | θ) or P(X = x; θ). The likelihood is the probability that a particular outcome is observed when the true value of the parameter is , equivalent to the ...
The condition number is derived from the theory of propagation of uncertainty, and is formally defined as the value of the asymptotic worst-case relative change in output for a relative change in input. The "function" is the solution of a problem and the "arguments" are the data in the problem. The condition number is frequently applied to ...
This shows that r xy is the slope of the regression line of the standardized data points (and that this line passes through the origin). Since − 1 ≤ r x y ≤ 1 {\displaystyle -1\leq r_{xy}\leq 1} then we get that if x is some measurement and y is a followup measurement from the same item, then we expect that y (on average) will be closer ...
Excel maintains 15 figures in its numbers, but they are not always accurate; mathematically, the bottom line should be the same as the top line, in 'fp-math' the step '1 + 1/9000' leads to a rounding up as the first bit of the 14 bit tail '10111000110010' of the mantissa falling off the table when adding 1 is a '1', this up-rounding is not undone when subtracting the 1 again, since there is no ...
Plot with random data showing homoscedasticity: at each value of x, the y -value of the dots has about the same variance. Plot with random data showing heteroscedasticity: The variance of the y -values of the dots increases with increasing values of x. In statistics, a sequence of random variables is homoscedastic (/ ˌhoʊmoʊskəˈdæstɪk ...
t. e. Okun's law in macroeconomics states that in an economy the GDP growth should depend linearly on the changes in the unemployment rate. Here the ordinary least squares method is used to construct the regression line describing this law. In statistics, ordinary least squares (OLS) is a type of linear least squares method for choosing the ...
The simplest case of a normal distribution is known as the standard normal distribution or unit normal distribution. This is a special case when μ = 0 {\textstyle \mu =0} and σ 2 = 1 {\textstyle \sigma ^{2}=1} , and it is described by this probability density function (or density): φ ( z ) = e − z 2 2 2 π . {\displaystyle \varphi (z ...