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Graham later revised his formula based on the belief that the greatest contributing factor to stock values (and prices) over the past decade had been interest rates. In 1974, he restated it as follows: [4] The Graham formula proposes to calculate a company’s intrinsic value as:
Put another way, a stock priced below the Graham Number would be considered a good value, if it also meets a number of other criteria. The Number represents the geometric mean of the maximum that one would pay based on earnings and based on book value. Graham writes: [2] Current price should not be more than 1 1 ⁄ 2 times the book value last ...
In this article we are going to estimate the intrinsic value of Graham Corporation ( NYSE:GHM ) by estimating the...
Stock valuation is the method of calculating theoretical values of companies and their stocks.The main use of these methods is to predict future market prices, or more generally, potential market prices, and thus to profit from price movement – stocks that are judged undervalued (with respect to their theoretical value) are bought, while stocks that are judged overvalued are sold, in the ...
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A related approach, known as a discounted cash flow analysis, can be used to calculate the intrinsic value of a stock including both expected future dividends and the expected sale price at the end of the holding period. If the intrinsic value exceeds the stock’s current market price, the stock is an attractive investment. [6]
Graham recommended that enterprising investors devote substantial time and effort to analyze the financial state of companies. When a company is available at a discount to its intrinsic value, a "margin of safety" exists, which makes it suitable for investment. Graham wrote that "investment is most intelligent when it is most businesslike."